Friday -- April -- 13 -- 2017
The "SPREAD"
covers the "broad" market and it
is our creation. |
The
SPREAD reached a new all-time high on 1.26.2018 The SPREAD closed Friday 4/13/2018, at 4,798.68, up +89.87 (+1.55%) this past week
vs off -35.09 (-0.73%)
the previous week.
The SPREAD pulled back out of bear market territory 108 weeks ago and out
of correction territory 98 weeks ago with a current discount to the 52-week
high at off -4.87%. One definition of a correction is a discount to the 52 week high
of 10%. A bear market is a discount to the 52 week high of 20%. We are
watching the VL climbing faster than the NY, making the markets more overvalued everyday. These two
indices are
basically the same market, it's just that one has a few
hundred large over-the-counter stocks and the other has no over-the-counter
stocks. When both indices are climbing we get a
strong bullish sign for the near term markets, but when both indices
are falling we get a bearish sign for the weeks ahead. Its when the VL
falls faster than the NY that we have to worry about. My
concern now is since
they are the same markets they should never be so far apart. I
believe we will see a major drop when VL starts falling faster than the NY. One thing to note is the chart above covers over 20 years, therefore changes take time, meaning there could still be a few months left for the bull. The
distance between the two
(spread) continues to grow, if the VL is climbing faster than the NY,
or shrink, if the VL is falling faster than the NY. If we see the NY
climbing while VL starts falling we could be seeing the very first sign
of a sizable correction starting. The
SPREAD is unique to the Stocks in the Spotlight since we
designed it in 1090 by producing an "equal
value equation"
allowing a better view of the
longer term markets when comparing the big OTC stocks to the New York
Exchange listed stocks. We end up with a theory: The MARKETS
are not able to move very far, in either direction, without
the SPREAD! |
Our
SPREAD index is different
than the normal Value Line/New York |
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