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The Trend

The DOW 30

The SPREAD

2010 vs 2009

The Current Market

Market Comment



March -- 5 -- 2009


The Closing Markets Last Week



The SPREAD

The SPREAD measures the difference between the Value Line index
and the New York index. The higher the SPREAD the more
"bullish", the lower the SPREAD the more "bearish"!

The following charts show the 30, 90, 180 day & 1 Year SPREAD

This should give us a better idea of the current and near term market!


The 30 DAY trend can change fast !
The trend line turned up 3 weeks ago, after staying down for 3 weeks !


The 90 DAY trend line turned up 11 weeks ago, after staying down for 3 weeks,
after staying up for 31 weeks !



The 180 DAY trend line turned up 46 weeks ago, after staying down for 28 weeks, after staying up for 7 weeks !


The 1 YEAR trend line turned up 31 weeks ago after staying down for 85 weeks ago after staying up over 4 years!


The SPREAD remained positive for the year for the 3rd straight week, closing at a new "all-time" high

The SPREAD closed at 1745.52, up +94.69, or (+ 5.74% this past week vs) off -4.62, or (- 0.28%) the previous week. The SPREAD set a new "all-time" high on Friday, breaking the previous one at 1672.52 set on 01/19/10. The new record "all-time" high for the SPREAD is a bullish sign that needs to be confirmed by at least one more index reaching a new "all-time" high.

The 52 week & all-time closing high is 1745.52 reached on 3/5/10. The 52 week low is is 619.74, set on 3/09/09.

The SPREAD closed up 5 days (+ 94.69) and down 0 days (- 0.00), for the 5 trading days in the month of March, and up +94.69, or (+ 5.74%) on the month. Last year the SPREAD closed higher in March. See how the markets have done each month for the last ten years by clicking here.

In September of 2001, the SPREAD had a net difference of -123.56, the greatest monthly (negative) difference ever, until the SPREAD set a new record monthly difference in June/08, off -162.70, or (- 14.14%), which held until October/08, when the SPREAD closed with a difference of off -294.38, or (- 43.43%).

Watch closer! The markets should follow the SPREAD.

Monthly Activity on the SPREAD

Month

Up
Days

Down Days

Total Days

Gain

Loss

Change

February ------ 2009

7

12

19

111.27

-211.97

-100.69

March

11

11

22

367.13

-242.05

125.08

April

15

6

21

411.32

-163.99

247.63

May

11

9

20

262.07

-123.56

54.30

June

13

9

22

176.74

-148.65

28.09

July

15

7

22

257.83

-110.01

147.83

August

13

8

21

221.70

-136.97

84.73

September

13

8

21

216.74

-123.56

96.69

October

11

11

22

201.69

-299.56

97.87

November

9

11

20

188.07

-123.56

42.69

December

15

7

22

208.39

-69.09

139.30

January ------ 2010

11

8

19

124.66

-181.58

-36.92

February

13

6

19

170.79

-93.11

87.68

Click here to view the larger SPREAD chart

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