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The Trend

The DOW 30

The SPREAD

2010 vs 2009

The Current Market

Market Comment



January -- 27 -- 2011


The Closing Markets Last Week

   Weekly Indices

The SPREAD

The SPREAD measures the difference between the Value Line index
and the New York index. The higher the SPREAD the more
"bullish", the lower the SPREAD the more "bearish"!

The following charts show the 30, 90, 180 day & 1 Year SPREAD

This should give us a better idea of the current and near term market!


30 day trend

The 30 DAY trend can change fast ! The line turned up 8 weeks ago after staying down 2 weeks after staying up for 5 weeks!

The 30 day trend is climbing. A bullish sign (near term)

90 Day Trend

  The 90 DAY trend line turned up 13 weeks ago after staying down 18 weeks after staying up 38 weeks !

The 90 day trend  is too far over the line . A bearish sign (near term).

180 Day Trend
The 180 DAY trend line turned 2 weeks ago after staying down 22 weeks after staying up 35 weeks!

The 180 day trend is too far over the line. A bearish sign (near term).

One Year Trend
The 1 YEAR trend line turned down 16 weeks ago after staying up for 100 weeks after staying down for 85 weeks after staying up over 4 years!

The one year trend line turned down 16 weeks ago. A bearish sign (longer term)


The SPREAD pulled out of in correction territory for the second week after staying there
for 24 weeks and back out of bear market territory for week 8
 

The SPREAD closed Friday, 1/27/12, at 2191.70, up +35.68, or (+ 1.65%) this past week vs, up +60.97, or (+ 2.91%) the previous week.

The  SPREAD pulled back out of correction territory for week 2 after being there for 24 straight weeks after 44 weeks out of it, and back out of bear territory for week 8 after 1 week in it after staying out of it for 6 weeks,  off -6.28% from the 52 week high. The definition of a correction is a discount to the 52 week high of 10%. A bear market is a discount to the 52 week high of 20%.

The 52 week & all-time closing high is 2338.47 reached on 4/29/11. The 52 week low is is 1673.51, set on 10/3/11.

The SPREAD closed up 13 days ( +226.16) and down 5 days (- 43.05), for the 9 trading days in the month of January and up +183.11, or (+ 8.56%) on the month. Last year the SPREAD closed higher in January. See how the markets have done for the last 10 years by clicking here.

Twenty four weeks ago the SPREAD set a new record monthly difference of -388.09, or (- 19.97%) (not % difference), breaking the last one set October/08, when the SPREAD closed with a difference of off -294.38, or (- 43.43%) .

Watch closer! The markets should follow the SPREAD

Monthly Activity on the SPREAD

Month

Up
Days

Down Days

Total Days

Gain

Loss

Change

December------ 2010 16 6 22 203.32 - 46.52 156.00
January  ------ 2011 11 9 20 179.72 - 169.36 10.36
February  14 5 19 223.21 - 130.91 92.30
March 13 10 23 265.68 218.72 46.96
April 14 10 20 161.26 - 104.79

56.51

May 10 11 21 197.42 - 226.37 -28.95
June 12 10 22 211.90 - 269.70 -57.80
July 8 12 20 175.99  274.38 -98.39
August 10 11 21 533.65 - 709.71 -176.06
September 9 12 21 306.06 - 527.47 -219.41
October 11 8 19 612.31 - 341.54

270.77

November 8 13 21 380.14 - 388.09

-30.55

December12921266.13- 260.62 5.51

Click here to view the larger SPREAD chart

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